Published Articles
2024, "Secret Innovation," with Michael Poznansky, International Organization, 78(4).
2023, "When Do Leader Attributes Matter? Evidence from the President's Daily Brief," with Michael Goldfien and Daniel Krcmaric. Conflict Management and Peace Science.
Award: Palmer Prize for the best article published in Conflict Management and Peace Science in 2024
2023, "Domestic Sources of International Reputation," with Michael Goldfien and Roseanne McManus. American Political Science Review, 117 (2)
2023: "Do different coercive strategies help or hurt deterrence success?" International Studies Quarterly, 67 (2)
2023: Perceptions of Leadership importance: Evidence from the President's Daily Brief, with Michael Goldfien, Security Studies, 32 (2)
2022, "Shooting the Messenger: The Challenge of National Security Whistleblowing," with Michael Poznansky and William Spaniel. The Journal of Politics, 84, (2). Click here to download. (Covered in War on the Rocks)
2021, "A Little Bit of Cheap Talk is a Dangerous Thing: States Can Communicate Intentions Persuasively and Raise the Risk of War.," The Journal of Politics, (83) 1.
Award: Best paper, Formal Theory Section, American Political Science Association
Book Manuscript: Great Power Politics: A rationalist theory of historical and cultural context.
Under Review
Registered Report: Do elite partisan disagreements degrade the probability of victory in war? Evidence from South Korean military battle experiments (R & R, APSR)
Generalizing Experimental Results in International Relations: using sensitivity analysis to quantify uncertainty. (with Melody Huang)
The Domestic Sources of International Trust (w/ Michael Goldfien, Roseanne McManus)
Unattributable Coercion.