Welcome
Book
The Origins of Great Power Rivalries.
Cambridge University Press
(In Press, for March 2026)
Published Articles
"The Domestic Sources of International Trust," with Roseanne McManus & Michael Goldfien, American Political Science Review, 2026 (accepted)
"Registered Report: Do elite partisan disagreements degrade the probability of victory in war? Evidence from South Korean military battle experiments," with Joon Chung, American Political Science Review, 2026 (accepted)
"Secret Innovation," with Michael Poznansky, International Organization, 2024.
"When Do Leader Attributes Matter? Evidence from the President's Daily Brief," with Michael Goldfien and Daniel Krcmaric. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 2024
Award: Palmer Prize (2024)
"Domestic Sources of International Reputation," with Michael Goldfien and Roseanne McManus. American Political Science Review, 2023
"Do different coercive strategies help or hurt deterrence success?" International Studies Quarterly, 2023
"Perceptions of Leadership importance: Evidence from the President's Daily Brief," with Michael Goldfien, Security Studies, 2023
"Shooting the Messenger: The Challenge of National Security Whistleblowing," with Michael Poznansky and William Spaniel. The Journal of Politics, 2022. (Covered in War on the Rocks)
"A Little Bit of Cheap Talk is a Dangerous Thing: States Can Communicate Intentions Persuasively and Raise the Risk of War.," The Journal of Politics, 2021.
Award: Best paper, Formal Theory Section, American Political Science Association (2022)
Under Review
Contract Uncertainty and the Resolution of Intractable Disputes (w/ Ken Schultz)
Unattributable Coercion. (R & R, JOP)
Cover Stories, w/ Matt Malis (R & R, APSR)
Generalizing Experimental Results in International Relations: using sensitivity analysis to quantify uncertainty. (with Melody Huang)